Podcast: Many Happy Returns

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This year the S&P 500 has fallen over 23%. With the benefit of hindsight, what were the clues that we had reached the top at the start of 2022? And what could indicate the market has now reached a bottom and is about to resume its upward drift? Accepted wisdom says that what matters is...
The UK stock market has lagged global indices over the past decade and struggled to attract new companies. We look at the reasons for the underperformance and the prospects for the future. We discuss the sector composition of the UK market, with its crucial underweight in technology companies, as well as whether the dividend investing...
For decades, oil has held a critical and unique place in the global economy. Many commodities are claimed to be “the new oil” for their importance in the modern world. But are these claims mere soundbites or do they indicate the emergence of new strategic commodities? We discuss the prospects for claims ranging from tech...
There are many different risks we have to navigate as investors, from the volatility of markets to collapsing companies to our own behaviour. How we choose to respond to these risks is ultimately what will determine our success in building and preserving our wealth. This week we dig into the different types of investment risk,...
The S&P 500 has fallen to the brink of a bear market, with companies severely punished for missing their earnings forecasts. The price-to-earnings multiple has declined and market prospects look uncertain. The question everyone is asking is ‘what comes next?’ We look into whether the S&P 500 is now at fair value? What events could...
Stablecoins are a core part of the financial plumbing when it comes to cryptocurrency and digital assets. They promise that if you put a dollar in, you will always be able to get a dollar out. But last week saw Terra, one of the largest stablecoins, lose its peg to the dollar and collapse. Investors...
Myth-busting popular sayings, cliches and folk wisdom about the stock market and investing. We discuss “sell in May and go away”, dividend investing, and “buy the dip.” Ramin also let’s loose on Technical Analysis and the dependability of vomiting camels. In the Dumb Question of the Week we ask “are credit ratings useless?” {{many-happy-returns-links}} {{pensioncraft-links}}...
The Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting is often referred to as the Woodstock of Capitalism, where legendary investors Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger opine on the state of markets and investing. The 2022 meeting took place this weekend, with as many interesting nuggets of wisdom and controversy as ever. We discuss Berkshire ramping up their stock...
Many different assets are touted as potential inflation hedges but which ones actually work? People often make the case for inflation-linked bonds, gold, commodities… but how do we know how each asset class will respond in a period of high inflation? When does it make sense for us to hedge? What risks are involved and...
Emerging Markets promised investors better returns and broader diversification. But growth has stalled in recent years, with heightened volatility and uncertainty. This week we look at what risks and opportunities are involved with investing in Emerging Markets and what role they should play in our portfolio. We discuss the unique position of China, the impact...
House prices in the UK are up by 10% year on year, with similar rises in much of the western world. What has caused this runaway growth in prices? And what could cause it to reverse? We look to interest rates, supply constraints, government policy and wage growth for the answer. Could the market be...
How much money do you need to invest to live the life you want? How much can you safely withdraw from a portfolio each year? And how do you ensure you don’t run out of money in retirement? We discuss determining how much you need by understanding what really makes us happy in life, as...
Meme stocks are on the rise again, with GameStop and AMC leading the charge again over the past week. We look back at the crazy month of January 2021 to understand what caused meme stocks to gain over 2,000%, before falling back just as sharply. How did the short squeeze on hedge funds work? What...
Which macroeconomic indicators should we look at to understand where markets are heading? How important are labour market indicators such as nonfarm payrolls, initial jobless claims and the unemployment rate? And what impact do housing and credit market indicators – such as the senior loan officers survey – have on markets? How do these different...